Report forecasts banks to face fines totalling €4.7bn in first three years under GDPR

The new report GDPR: Banks, Breaches and Billion Euro Fines forecasts the number of data breaches in the European financial services sector over the next three years and corresponding fines under GDPR.

The report from Consult Hyperion, commissioned by AllClear ID, forecasts that European financial institutions could face fines totalling €4.7 billion in the first three years under the new General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). This forecast is conservative and excludes compensation claims, costs associated with lost customers, damaged reputations and senior executive resignations.

 

Data Breach Forecast and GDPR Fines

Type of bank

Total number of banks

Forecast average fine (millions)

Forecast breaches

Estimated fines (millions)

Tier 1

32

€260

2/3

€666

Tier 2

75

€48

6

€288

Tier 3

5000

€5

120

€600

Total Year One = €1,554m

Total Over Three Years = €4,662m

Under GDPR financial penalties for a data breach are substantial. Institutions can receive fines of up to 2% of the previous year’s global annual revenues for a first offence and 4% for repeat offences where the regulator has previously ordered remedial action. There are also possible criminal penalties for executives deemed responsible.

GDPR’s 72-hour breach notification requirement means managing and responding to a data breach in an open and effective manner is critical. Regulators have significant discretion in the level of penalties they can levy, and are required to take planning, customer notification and mitigation into account in the decision.

“The highest risk item in the GDPR is the 72-hour breach notification requirement, and banks are not mitigating this,” said Tim Richards, Principal Consultant, Consult Hyperion. “Data breaches are an unfortunate fact of life for financial institutions, and our analysis suggests that there have been no fewer than 27 data breach incidents among European Tier 1 banks in the last decade, with some banks as multiple offenders, potentially liable for fines at the 4% level. This indicates an 8% chance that any Tier 1 bank will suffer a data breach in any given year. These figures, we believe, are conservative, and banks are not prepared for the consequences under GDPR.”

To compound the issue, new European regulations such as PSD2, ePR and AMLD4/5 will mandate institutions hold more data and make it available over open interfaces, just when data loss becomes especially dangerous.

With less than a year before GDPR goes live the report advises banks to take urgent action to meet GDPR and other legislative requirements to avoid financial and reputational loss.

The report offers pragmatic advice to financial institutions to mitigate the risk of a data breach and ensure compliance. Three key crucial elements are required – the expertise to deal with breach-specific issues including identity theft, the specialised manpower to handle the volume of queries generated when the breach is publicised, and the infrastructure for secure communication channels to notify customers.

Bo Holland, CEO, AllClear ID, said: “A poorly managed customer notification in the wake of a breach makes you look like a fool. Financial institutions are myopically focused on preventative measures, ignoring the importance of the resilience. History tells us that companies that have dealt with data breaches poorly have seen loss of customers, reduced earnings and board level resignations, while those with a prepared plan and a managed response have sidestepped these issues,”

“GDPR raises the stakes even higher. With only 72 hours to react, financial institutions that have not invested in response readiness will face the most serious fines and collateral business damage.” 

The figures were compiled from an analysis of historic data breach figures, adjusted for the size of financial institution. GDPR sanction levels were then applied to the data. It was assumed that breaches were at the lower end of the GDPR fine scale, which is €10m or 2% of global annual turnover.


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